The US-Mexico border crisis is one of the first noncoronavirus-related issues to break through the news cycle during President Joe Biden’s administration. Republicans are playing up the surge of people trying to cross the border, while Democrats are hoping that Biden can figure out a way to deal with it. […] Read more »
The popularity of Congress is at its highest level in more than a decade as stimulus checks hit bank accounts
For the second time in the pandemic era, Congress is experiencing a burst of relative popularity, the normally reviled institution winning public support in the early days of a Democratic-run Washington. Most of the surge comes from Democratic voters who are happy to see their party controlling both the House […] Read more »
A Top G.O.P. Pollster on Trump 2024, QAnon and What Republicans Really Want
… So what is it that the Republican Party, the real Republican Party, the Republican Party that loves Donald Trump and wants to see him run again, what does that Republican Party believe? What do they prioritize? What do they emphasize in politics? What do they think all this is […] Read more »
First Takes on the Election #2: What About the Polls?
… Putting the major polls together, their miss in last year’s presidential election was, on average, 4 percentage points, mainly because they underestimated the Trump vote; they also underestimated the Republican down-ballot votes by about the same margin. (Fivethirtyeight.com’s final averages of polls gave Biden an 8.4-point lead; he ended […] Read more »
The Death Of Polling Is Greatly Exaggerated
Polls probably aren’t at the top of your mind right now. We’re more than four months removed from the 2020 election, and we still have almost 20 months to go until the midterms. That’s why it’s the perfect time to launch the latest update to our FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings, which […] Read more »
Without Trump to kick around, GOP’s blue-state govs sink
As recently as October, Massachusetts Republican Gov. Charlie Baker was basking in his typically stratospheric poll ratings. More than 70 percent approved of his job performance. Roughly the same amount felt the same way about his handling of the Covid-19 crisis. Those were the days. Since then, Baker’s numbers have […] Read more »