… The lack of scholarly consensus on mass-level religious polarization is, at least in part, a product of poor measures of issue polarization. In our recent and upcoming research to be published in Political Behavior, we introduce a new way of measuring issue polarization and then analyze how religious identities […] Read more »
Vaccinated Republicans are going out far more than vaccinated Democrats
There are fewer new cases of Covid-19 in the US in more than a year. The response from an increasing number of Americans has been to resume a lot of normal activities. This is consistent across polling data and real-world activities, such as flying. This step in the country’s return […] Read more »
Democrats Lost Ground With Non-College Voters of Color In 2020
Every election forces us to re-examine many of the assumptions we’ve been making about voting behavior. The 2016 election brought a recognition of the ‘education gap’ among white voters — those with a college degree preferring Democrats and those without voting overwhelming Republican. But, even as pollsters and pundits admitted […] Read more »
Trump voters cling to 2020 tale
While most Americans rightly see Joe Biden as the legitimate winner of the 2020 presidential election, time, facts and evidence have done little to shift the attitudes of Trump voters who stubbornly cling to the fantasy that their candidate actually won. In Arizona, for example, a poll my firm completed […] Read more »
Born on the Left, Data for Progress Comes of Age in Biden’s Washington
President Biden mentions it in private calls. The White House reads its work. And Senator Chuck Schumer, the majority leader, teams up with its leaders for news conferences, blog posts and legislation. The embrace of Data for Progress by the highest ranks of the Democratic Party is a coming-of-age moment […] Read more »
Why Public Opinion Changed So Dramatically On Same-Sex Marriage
During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. During a shorter period — just about a decade — it went from being one of the most high-pitched culture war debates to something that politicians and activists hardly talk about. … For […] Read more »