When President Joe Biden formally announced the end of America’s longest war on Tuesday, he did so with a majority of voters supporting its conclusion, polls show. But those same polls suggest his execution of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan is broadly unpopular, which has forced him to absorb a […] Read more »
RIP, rally ’round the flag
Less than 12 hours after Flight 75 crashed into the South Tower of the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001, close to 150 members of Congress, Republicans and Democrats, stood together on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to sing “God Bless America.” Unfortunately, that act of bipartisanship won’t […] Read more »
Why the California recall is within the margin of error and what that means for Gavin Newsom
The idea that California voters might recall Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom seems like a Republican fantasy and nothing more at first glance. After all, Newsom won by 24 points in 2018 and President Joe Biden, a Democrat, took the state by 29 points last fall. Now though, Democrats are worried […] Read more »
Pollsters confront tough survey landscape after 2020 flubs
Academic and nonpartisan pollsters surveying voters ahead of key election contests this year are trying new technology and massaging their existing methodology in hopes of correcting the errors that led them to underestimate Donald Trump’s level of support in the 2020 election. But those pollsters on the front lines today […] Read more »
It’s not just Afghanistan — Americans are losing faith in Biden on many issues
President Joe Biden’s approval rating is at its lowest point in his presidency. In the average of polls, he stands at about 47%. That’s a steady decline from the beginning of this month (51%), last month (52%) and beginning of June (54%). It would be easy to assign Biden’s decline […] Read more »
Hated by the right people
The campaign for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination is already underway, although the presence of Donald Trump means it’s not as open as it would normally be. Ron DeSantis seems to have moved to the top of the field–Predicit has him at 0.23, with Trump at 0.31 and everyone else […] Read more »