No matter which party wins control of the House and Senate next month, the results are virtually certain to reinforce the paradox powering the nation’s steadily mounting political tension. American politics today may be both more rigid and more unstable than at any other time since at least the Civil […] Read more »
2022 Puts the Idiosyncrasies of the Senate on Full Display
A diagram of the direction of the 2022 campaign would look like a zigzag. Democrats faced near gale-force headwinds into June, but that moderated considerably in the first half of the summer, with the most optimistic of Democrats having visions of retaining majorities in both the House and the Senate. […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Voters tilt toward Republicans over Democrats in competitive districts
Americans are closely divided over which party’s candidate they would support in their congressional districts, with preferences in competitive districts tilting toward Republicans, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. But about 4 in 10 voters say neither party’s candidates in their congressional districts have a clear plan […] Read more »
Polls almost always move toward Republicans in the fall
There’s little surprise so far in October. According to social media, half the world spent the weekend at a pumpkin patch, and the other half spent it debating the merits of Christopher Columbus. The usual schools lead the college football rankings. And political coverage is telling you that “the polls […] Read more »
The central tension driving the 2022 election
The choice for voters in the 2022 campaign has sharpened to the point where it can be condensed to a single phrase: Your money or your rights? Most voters continue to express strikingly negative views on President Joe Biden’s management of the economy, and for that matter, his handling of […] Read more »
Biden is unpopular, but Democrats lead 2022 polls. What gives?
Joe Biden is underwater: 45 percent of voters approve of his job performance as president while 52 percent disapprove, adding up to a net approval rating of negative seven percentage points. Yet Biden isn’t sinking Democratic congressional candidates — they lead Republicans in national House polls by one point. These […] Read more »