It is widely believed that most Republicans are skeptical about human-caused climate change. But is this belief correct? In 2014 and 2016, we conducted two national surveys of more than 2,000 respondents on the issue of climate change. We found that most Republicans agreed that climate change is happening, threatens […] Read more »
Who Do We Think We Are?
According to a new study, Americans’ perceptions of the opposing political party tend to skew far from the truth. … Perry Bacon, senior writer for FiveThirtyEight, wrote about the study for his column “Secret Identity.” He says that there was a time when we assumed some diversity within the parties, […] Read more »
Russia Is The ‘Dark Cloud’ That Hangs Over Midterm Elections
These midterm elections are hard to game out. That’s because there are a lot of factors that could cancel each other out, and there is no single issue that appears to be breaking through. “Frankly, it is about volatility,” said a Republican operative, who spoke on the condition of anonymity […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Polls, Polls, and More Polls
The Marist Poll has just released comprehensive data both nationally and in the upper Midwest. In this edition of Poll Hub, the team provides a detailed analysis of the electoral climate. In the latest NBC News/Marist Poll numbers of Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is upside […] Read more »
Disillusioned GOP moderates
Democracy Corps just completed focus groups with key segments of the Republican Party. They confirm very clearly that Donald Trump riling up his Tea Party and Evangelical base both fuels the Democratic resistance and pushes away many in the GOP. Trump’s base strategy is especially disillusioning for the GOP moderates […] Read more »
Precinct Data Shows Rich, White Neighborhoods Flipping Democratic in 2016. Will It Last?
Republicans have been the party of the rich and Democrats the party of the poor for about as long as political scientists have collected data on American elections. That might not be quite so true anymore, at least among white voters. Hillary Clinton won the nation’s richest and most exclusive […] Read more »