People don’t vote for what they want. They vote for who they are.

… In research published earlier this year, political scientist Lilliana Mason conducted a national survey that determined where people stood on various hot-button issues: same-sex marriage, abortion, gun control, immigration, the Affordable Care Act, the deficit. Then they were asked how they felt about spending time with liberals or conservatives. […] Read more »

Why Bernie Sanders supporters shouldn’t be praising the DNC rule change

Bernie Sanders’ acolytes cheered this past weekend as the the Democratic National Committee changed superdelegate and caucus rules for the 2020 primary season. They really shouldn’t have. While on the surface the rule changes seemed to benefit progressives, a closer look suggests the exact opposite. These rule changes will likely […] Read more »

How the Democratic Party Can Turn the Sun Belt Blue

This week’s competitive primaries in Arizona and Florida suggest the midterm elections could provide revealing signals on one of the most important questions facing the two parties over the next decade: Can Democrats overturn the Republican advantage in the rapidly growing Sun Belt? CONT. Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic Read more »

Dark Days Ahead for Trump and the GOP

This week’s developments—the guilty verdict of Paul Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign head found guilty on tax and bank-fraud charges, and the guilty plea by Michael Cohen, Trump’s longtime personal lawyer, for campaign-finance-law violations which he says were directed by Trump—have to leave Republicans unnerved. And then there was Wednesday’s […] Read more »

Getting to Know White Voters

There are LOTS of opinions and narratives out there about white voters. Hillary Clinton lost because white women abandoned her. White, non-college educated voters are Trump’s base. They are never coming back/will come back to Democrats. Donald Trump’s testosterone-laden presidency alienated lots of white, college-educated women who held their noses […] Read more »

A Labor Day Status Report

We’ve been starting Crystal Ball pieces with a few “key points” summing up the article. As we head into Labor Day weekend and the start of the sprint to Election Day, we thought we’d do something different. Instead of key points from this article, here are some key points about […] Read more »