The Monmouth University Poll finds the race for control of the House of Representatives to be tight in a new analysis of polls conducted in eight competitive bellwether congressional districts over the summer. … These are key findings from 3,390 interviews conducted in CA48, PA01, PA17, NJ03, NJ11, OH12, VA10, […] Read more »
Conditional Party Loyalty
Scholars have long debated the strength of voters’ partisan attachments, asking whether party identification plays a near-deterministic role in political decisions. A large literature argues that partisan cues dominate political choice, but other studies show that competing information can rival, and even sometimes outweigh, the effects of partisanship. We reconcile […] Read more »
With Nike, Kaepernick now more a political figure than athlete
The National Football League’s 2018 season is here and the national anthem controversy is back with a new wrinkle. Nike has launched an ad campaign featuring Colin Kaepernick, the former San Francisco 49ers quarterback who started the kneel-or-stand anthem argument. … But companies don’t become multi-billion dollar brands by making […] Read more »
Twitter’s Flawed Solution to Political Polarization
… Scholars were once optimistic that social media could increase bipartisan dialogue by allowing virtually anyone to engage in public debate about politics. Yet mounting evidence suggests that Facebook and Twitter have allowed Republicans and Democrats to further segregate themselves. A recent study indicates that 85 percent of retweets are […] Read more »
Democratic Senate hopes are alive, though precarious
… Democrats need a net gain of two seats. To get there, Democrats probably need one of the following scenarios to come true. Democrats likely need to win Republican held seats in Arizona and Nevada. Then they need to hold onto all 26 of their currently held seats, including in […] Read more »
Democrats Embrace Liberal Insurgents, Demanding New Face for Party
The Democratic primary elections of 2018 have brought an end to an era of deference by liberals to establishment leaders in Washington and the states, as an emboldened coalition of women, young people and racial minorities claimed ownership of the party and steered it to war against President Trump. In […] Read more »