Following the “invisible primary” stage of a presidential nomination race is a bit tricky. Things are clearly happening in anticipation of 2020 — candidates, both announced and unannounced, are visiting with donors and activists, giving speeches and interviews and haunting restaurants and coffee shops. But it’s difficult to know what […] Read more »
The GOP is the party of Trump — but not for the reasons anti-Trump conservatives think
… No one who runs against Trump will have any realistic hope of defeating him. Polls consistently show 80 percent or more of Republicans approve of the job he is doing. That figure rises to 93 percent among people who voted for him, according to the most recent Economist-YouGov poll. […] Read more »
Independent Candidate May Have Significant Impact on Democratic Party’s Electoral Fortunes in 2020 Election
Ever since former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz announced that he is considering making an Independent bid for the presidency, there has been intense interest in how having an Independent on the 2020 ballot might impact the contest between Republican President Donald Trump and the eventual Democratic nominee. The Wason Center […] Read more »
Why Democrats are not afraid of gun control anymore
The House of Representatives this week is poised to pass its most significant gun control legislation since President Bill Clinton’s first term — and in the process highlight a fundamental transformation in the Democratic Party’s center of gravity. … The willingness, even eagerness, of most House Democrats to embrace new […] Read more »
Do Democrats really have to worry about the left? Actually, not so much.
If you were a moderate Democrat elected to Congress in 2018, you might worry about how the sweeping proposals from your more liberal colleagues will reflect on you. Are the voters in my swing district going to think I’m some kind of far leftist, too? Should I make efforts to […] Read more »
How To Rate A Trump Challenger
One big question about 2020 is whether President Trump will face a serious primary challenger for the Republican presidential nomination. … In the modern presidential primary era, three incumbents have experienced what we’d consider a serious primary challenge: Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush. And in all three […] Read more »