… “Economic distress is not a significant factor in explaining the shift in Iowa voters from Democrat to Republican between 2008 and 2016,” write Iowa State University sociologists Ann Oberhauser, Daniel Krier, and Abdi Kusow. “The election outcomes do not signify [a revolt] among working-class voters left behind by globalization.” […] Read more »
The Fickle Over the Faithful
… A 2017 study by Johns Hopkins University researchers Stephen L. Morgan and Jiwon Lee, which was published in the Sociological Science journal, found that non-Hispanic white voters totaled 69.3 percent of the electorate in 2016. The percentage of that total who were working class was just 18.6 percent. Conversely, […] Read more »
In Pennsylvania, Joe Biden Finds Support Where He Most Needs It
The case for Joseph R. Biden Jr. has always come down to Pennsylvania. … Mr. Biden’s entry was met, particularly on social media, by a chorus of doubts at times bordering on derision from critics and progressive activists who questioned his age, his status as a white man and his […] Read more »
Democratic 2018 vote resembled presidential year turnout
Democrats had a good 2018 and new data released this week helps explain why. Last year’s midterms featured enormous turnout and it was especially high among groups that tend to favor Democratic candidates. Census numbers from the Current Population Survey show spikes in 2018 turnout among young voters, highly educated […] Read more »
AP-NORC Poll: Democrats are trusted more on health care
Americans are giving Democrats a clear edge on health care as the 2020 presidential race gears up, according to a new poll that also finds many Republicans backing one of their competitors’ top ideas: a government insurance plan people can buy into. … Overall, The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public […] Read more »
Math favors Senate Democrats in 2020, but geography gives GOP the advantage
A sprawling field of Democratic presidential candidates have spent months proffering ambitious policy proposals — from universal health care to an expanded Supreme Court — while debating whether they would eliminate the Senate filibuster to implement them with a simple majority vote. But there’s a catch: There’s a good chance […] Read more »