Math favors Senate Democrats in 2020, but geography gives GOP the advantage

A sprawling field of Democratic presidential candidates have spent months proffering ambitious policy proposals — from universal health care to an expanded Supreme Court — while debating whether they would eliminate the Senate filibuster to implement them with a simple majority vote.

But there’s a catch: There’s a good chance they may not have a Democratic Senate, period.

While the 2020 Senate landscape is more favorable to Democrats than in the brutal 2018 midterms, where they saw a net loss of two seats despite a massive surge in national Democratic turnout, the uncertainties of the presidential race and a long decline in ticket-splitting offer them only a narrow path to winning a majority next year. CONT.

Mike DeBonis, Washington Post