Party switchers always make news, and Kyrsten Sinema’s decision to leave the Democratic Party for the independent middle ground has sent shock waves through what was thought to be a settled Senate. … Her surprise announcement reflects what has been a largely overlooked political milestone for independents this year. The […] Read more »
The beginning of the end for Donald Trump? Probably.
… Like other political analysts, I have come to believe over the past few years that a large chunk of the GOP — maybe a third or even more — retains its allegiance to Trump, and that will not change. But over the past two midterms (2018 and 2022), the […] Read more »
Who are the extremists?
… As I argued here earlier, poor-quality Republican candidates played a key role in suppressing the widely anticipated red wave, and their extremism contributed significantly to the diminished quality of many defeated Republicans. But before Democratic triumphalism becomes dogma, it is important to recognize that, in the public mind, both […] Read more »
Trump said we’d get tired of winning. He’ll fall because the GOP is tired of losing.
Since I never expected Donald Trump to be president, I shuddered at the prospect of participating in a symposium on the theme, “Is this the end of Trump?” How often does anyone want to risk being wrong? But as the investment funds always warn, past performance is no guarantee of […] Read more »
Low Expectations for New Congress
Fewer than 1 in 5 Americans expect that Republican control of the House of Representatives will lead to a change for the better in Washington. In fact, a majority do not foresee this leading to much change either way. The Monmouth University Poll also finds the public is negative toward […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Americans have little appetite for Biden-Trump rematch in 2024
There’s little appetite for a 2020 rematch in the coming presidential election, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, as majorities of registered voters within each party say they’d rather see someone new nominated in 2024. About 6 in 10 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they want their […] Read more »