Partisans seem unlikely to change their minds on impeachment. Independents might.

… Are the open hearings being held by the House changing perceptions of impeachment? Is support for removing Trump from office growing? New polling suggests that the shifts so far have been modest. Importantly, it also suggests that most Americans are intractable on the subject and that the group most […] Read more »

Would Republicans pay a price if they vote to impeach the president? Here’s what we know from 1974.

With the House likely to vote to impeach President Trump, what electoral repercussions (if any) would House or Senate Republicans face from their votes on whether to impeach the president or remove him from office? If some members of the GOP break ranks, would their constituents reward or punish them […] Read more »

Republicans Can Win Back the Suburbs. Here’s How.

Republican support continues to erode in the suburbs of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas. This month’s elections offered more proof of the party’s struggles, as Democrats surged in suburban Washington, Philadelphia and New Orleans while gaining enough votes in the suburbs outside Cincinnati, Louisville and Lexington to capture the Kentucky […] Read more »

Trump’s options for winning a second term are narrowing

The tumultuous impeachment hearings and the string of GOP election losses this fall underline the electoral risks Republicans are courting as they allow President Donald Trump to refashion the party in his combative image. In overlapping ways, the election results and the hearings — in particular Trump’s characteristically belligerent response […] Read more »