Key Points• Many state governors have received high marks for their handling of coronavirus.• Three of them on the ballot this November get a boost in our gubernatorial ratings this week.• As of now, the open seat in Montana seems to be the seat likeliest to change hands on the […] Read more »
These Are the Voters Who Could Decide the Election
The stars are aligned for 2020 to be a breakout year for the political participation of the Latino community, the largest minority group in the electorate at 32 million. Joe Biden will have a hard time beating Donald Trump without achieving new levels of support. But if Democrats don’t act, […] Read more »
Do party platforms matter for candidates?
In a political system featuring entrepreneurial politicians who work to fashion their own images, and in an era of weak parties, commentators commonly dismiss the significance of party platforms. “Who cares what ‘the party’ says,” the conventional wisdom goes, “candidates will do what they want.” While there’s some truth in […] Read more »
Can the President Overcome the ‘Trump Penalty’?
President Trump endured plenty of ups and down during his first three years in office. Just not when it came to polling. The gap between his highest and lowest job-approval ratings is the narrowest of any first-term president in the history of modern polling (since 1945). The levels of extreme […] Read more »
A Third of Americans Know Someone Infected
This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,005 registered voters conducted April 30-May 5, 2020 and a national online survey of 1,687 registered voters conducted April 27-May 4, 2020. • Americans are hearing less from Trump on the pandemic, and those who […] Read more »
Why Trump’s shadow over the race for Senate control is so long
… Senate elections are becoming more about the party and less about the individual candidates. It’s become harder and harder for even the most talented Senate candidates to win, in effect, behind enemy lines, in states that usually vote the other way in presidential races. … The hardening alignment between […] Read more »