Democrats are stronger favorites in tight race for Senate control

… The Democrats’ chance of wresting control away from Republicans has increased over the last few months. They are clearer favorites to take back Congress’ upper chamber, though the race for Senate control is still well within the margin of error. To gain a majority of seats, Democrats need a […] Read more »

The Pandemic Is Damaging the GOP Brand Everywhere

Although hardly any of the governors grappling with the fiercest coronavirus outbreaks are on the ballot this fall, voters’ verdicts about their performance loom heavily over another electoral battle with enormous implications for the balance of power between the parties over the next decade: the struggle for control of state […] Read more »

Further Dissecting the Partisan Gap in Views of the Coronavirus

Americans’ political identities provide a lens through which they view and interpret much of what goes on around them, including not only views of the government, but also opinions about the economy, the state of the nation, race relations, schools and healthcare. The COVID-19 situation is no exception. … A […] Read more »

Democrats Are on Track to Win Decisive Battleground Suburbs They Lost in 2016

Democrats’ path to victory in 2020 requires strong majorities in cities and minimizing losses in rural stretches, but it hinges on performance in the suburbs. … To better understand the dynamics in these decisive places, Third Way used data from the analytics firm Catalist to estimate how many people are […] Read more »

Fueled By Suburbs, Democrats Are Poised For Gains In Key States, Analysis Finds

A new report from the centrist Democratic group Third Way, and shared first with NPR, finds that Democrats are on track to win the suburbs in five of six key states they lost in the 2016 presidential election. The analysis — which is based on voter-file data from the progressive-aligned […] Read more »

Democrats are strongly pushing mail voting. But its pitfalls could boost Trump.

Trailing Joe Biden in polls, President Donald Trump is attacking mail-in voting as a potential source of illegal Democratic votes on a near-daily basis. But the biggest risk of a pandemic-induced crush of mail-in votes isn’t fraud, an extraordinarily rare occurrence in American elections. The real danger is a perfect […] Read more »