Will young, Black Americans turn out to vote in November? Probal Rashid/LightRocket via Getty Images David C. Barker, American University School of Public Affairs and Sam Fulwood III, American University Most political analysts define “swing voters” as those who swing their support from one party to the other between election […] Read more »
The fight for the Senate is not over yet
There are good reasons for Democrats to be upbeat about their chances of netting at least three Senate seats in the fall, which, combined with a Joe Biden presidential victory, would flip the chamber. But while Democrats are on the offense in more states than a year ago, they haven’t […] Read more »
The Senate: Ranking the Top Dozen Best Targets
Key Points• National Republicans breathed a sigh of relief on Tuesday night, as Rep. Roger Marshall (R, KS-1) beat 2018 gubernatorial nominee Kris Kobach (R) in the Kansas Senate primary. Practically speaking, the Kansas Senate race went from being a potentially major Democratic offensive target to one where the Republicans […] Read more »
Voters Rarely Switch Parties, but Recent Shifts Further Educational, Racial Divergence
Overwhelming majorities of both Republican and Democratic voters have retained their party affiliation over the past two years, a tumultuous period marked by a global pandemic, mass protests against racial injustice and a presidential impeachment. … A new study, conducted on Pew Research Center’s nationally representative American Trends Panel, is […] Read more »
News Media Viewed as Biased but Crucial to Democracy
• 84% say news media is “critical” or “very important” to democracy• 86% think there is at least a fair amount of political bias in news coverage• Republicans most likely to perceive political bias in news media CONT. Megan Brenan & Helen Stubbs, Gallup Read more »
Alienated by Trump, Suburban Voters Sour on G.O.P. in Battle for the House
… Suburban districts like these have long been critical bases of Republican support, packed with affluent white voters who reliably chose Republicans to represent them in Congress. Democrats seized control of the House in 2018 by making inroads in communities like these, and Republicans have tied their hopes of reclaiming […] Read more »