With their drive to erect new obstacles to voting, particularly across the Sun Belt, Republicans are stacking sandbags against a rising tide of demographic change. In many of the states where Republicans are advancing the most severe restrictions — including Georgia, Arizona and Texas — shifts in the electorate’s composition […] Read more »
Can this political moment of good feelings last?
In our partisan times, it’s hard to find polling results that go against the grain, so to speak. Over the past four years, then-President Trump’s position on any given issue cleaved public opinion along party lines, regardless of the merits. Democrats opposed opening schools simply because Education Secretary Betsy DeVos […] Read more »
Can Biden make it ‘the economy, stupid’ again?
Eight weeks in, President Joe Biden has overseen a huge Covid relief win, surging vaccinations and declining case counts. As Wall Street sets new records, forecasters predict an economic boom. And yet, from his sixth day in office to his sixtieth, Biden’s approval rating barely budged. … And history suggests […] Read more »
Half of Republican men say they don’t want the vaccine. They’re mooching off the rest of us
Millions of elderly Americans are still hunting for appointments to get vaccinated against COVID-19. Millions of younger Americans are waiting impatiently for their turn in line. But there’s one group whose members are far more skeptical about the vaccine — and in some cases are actively refusing to get jabbed […] Read more »
It’s not Joe Biden’s Senate anymore
All presidents come to town with hope for pushing through a bipartisan agenda, before running into the reality of a divided Washington, but some people believed Joe Biden’s experience in the Senate and his knowledge of its personalities meant it might be different this time. It doesn’t look like it […] Read more »
Bubbles, then and now
A paper by Jacob Brown and Ryan Enos is getting a good deal of attention. They find that there is partisan sorting even at the level of individual residences–that Democrats tend to have Democratic neighbors and Republicans tend to have Republican neighbors. Although the study is cross-sectional, they imply that […] Read more »