No one should underestimate former president Donald Trump’s standing within the Republican Party, especially the passionate allegiance of a substantial part of the GOP base. But there are signs that, since the assault on the Capitol last year, his support within the party may not be quite as robust as […] Read more »
Republicans Are Trying to Suppress More Than Votes
The accelerating red-state offensive to censor what public-school students are taught about racism is emerging as a critical companion measure to proliferating race-based voter restrictions in many of the same states. The two-pronged fight captures how aggressively Republicans are moving to entrench their current advantages in red states, even as […] Read more »
Hispanic Americans’ Party ID: Updated Analysis
The U.S. Hispanic population is a segment of growing importance on the American political scene. This reflects in large part the growth in Hispanic Americans as a percentage of the U.S. population. The Census Bureau estimates that about 19% of the U.S. population is Hispanic, based on responses to the […] Read more »
Senate Democrats May Have Further To Fall In 2024
My friends who are Democrats, particularly those of the more progressive variety, don’t seem to understand how deep they are in the political hole this year—and just how hard it might be to get out of it in 2024, particularly in the Senate. On a basic level, midterm elections are […] Read more »
‘Hell Hath No Fury Like a Voter Scorned’: What 14 Swing Voters Have to Say
A year into the Biden administration, most of us can agree on one thing: The United States remains a deeply divided nation, with polarizing opinions on all sides. But what about the voices from the middle, the independents? Swing voters are arguably one of the most consequential groups for the […] Read more »
New Democratic strategy: Repackage the BBB and expect a different result
What’s worse than seeing sausage being made? Watching Democratic leaders lurch from issue to issue trying to reinvent a winning legislative strategy in the Washington equivalent of a Macy’s window. It’s not pretty. Anyone who doubts that assertion need only listen one more time to President Joe Biden’s destructive and […] Read more »