President Joe Biden is facing historically low approval ratings among independents, a trend that threatens Democrats in November’s midterm elections if he can’t reverse it by then. Although the number of truly independent swing voters has declined over the past half century, they can still provide the margin between electoral […] Read more »
Democrats’ problem with Hispanic voters isn’t going away as GOP gains seem to be solidifying
The Democratic Party’s early 2000s dream of an emerging majority based on a diversifying electorate has run into reality. Democrats lost the 2016 presidential election, and they barely won in 2020. Part of their problem was declining support among White voters. But the 2020 election also pointed to another problem: […] Read more »
Biden supporters applaud his speech as boring — and that was a good thing
One prominent liberal felt the speech “left a little to be desired” in its ambition. A veteran Republican strategist called it a “missed opportunity to lead.” And the conservative leaning New York Post mocked President Biden for drawing fewer viewers than his predecessors did in similar speeches. But, in the […] Read more »
Russia is the rare issue on which Democrats and Republicans agree
Almost everything these days has become the victim of partisan polarization. If Democrats like something, then Republicans don’t. If Republicans like something, then Democrats don’t. Partisanship, though, has taken a back seat when it comes to Americans’ views of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Democrats and Republicans largely agree on how […] Read more »
Can Biden Improve His Grade With Democratic Voters?
… In late January and earlier this week, I sat (virtually) in two focus groups of Democrats who primarily vote in presidential elections, but are not consistent midterm voters. … They were happy to be rid of Trump, but they didn’t find much to be excited about under Biden. … […] Read more »
Will Asian Americans Bolt From the Democratic Party?
Over the past three decades, Asian American voters — the fastest-growing group in the country according to Pew — have shifted from decisively supporting Republicans to becoming a reliably Democratic bloc, anchored by firmly liberal views on key national issues. The question now is whether this party loyalty will withstand […] Read more »