It seems that almost every week we see primary-election outcomes that not too long ago would have seemed highly unlikely, if not downright preposterous. Candidates in both parties who would have been seen as unorthodox, eccentric, or even extreme a decade or two ago are now winning nominations in unusual […] Read more »
A third Trump miss in Georgia
The size of the GOP incumbents’ victories in the Georgia primary results reflects a forward-looking Republican electorate that has moved beyond the 2020 elections and the disastrous loss of two Senate seats. … While Trump remains a popular figure with many Republicans, for Georgia voters, this wasn’t an election about […] Read more »
Why Republicans feel little political pressure for stricter gun control
The fatal shooting of 19 children and two adults on Tuesday in Uvalde, Texas, has shocked the country, evoking memories of other tragic school shootings such as Columbine, Newtown and Parkland, and renewing calls for Congress to do something. But the response to those calls from many Republican lawmakers is […] Read more »
Redistricting: The Overall Picture, Plus a Look at NY and MO
Key Points• With the national House map nearly complete, it appears that the overall map still leans toward Republicans.• However, this GOP bias is not nearly as strong as it was a decade ago.• We rate and analyze the new Missouri and New York congressional maps. CONTINUED Kyle Kondik & […] Read more »
We Can’t Even Agree on What Is Tearing Us Apart
Today, even scholars of polarization are polarized. This was not always the case. In 1964, Philip Converse of the University of Michigan wrote a groundbreaking paper, “The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics,” that attempted to determine the size of the share of the electorate that could reasonably be […] Read more »
The Real Reason America Doesn’t Have Gun Control
After each of the repeated mass shootings that now provide a tragic backbeat to American life, the same doomed dance of legislation quickly begins. As the outraged demands for action are inevitably derailed in Congress, disappointed gun-control advocates, and perplexed ordinary citizens, point their fingers at the influence of the […] Read more »