Pennsylvania: Trump Leads GOP Primary, Biden vs. Trump a Toss Up

In a state considered key to presidential elections, former President Donald Trump is leading a crowded field of candidates seeking the GOP nomination, receiving 49 percent support among registered Republican voters in Pennsylvania, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis receiving 25 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released […] Read more »

National Swing Women Voters Executive Summary

Funded by Horizon Strategies and directed entirely by the two companies, we took an in-depth look at two small, but consequential groups in the electorate: Republican women who did not vote straight party in 2022 and Independent women who voted for candidates of both parties. CONTINUED Nicole McCleskey (Public Opinion […] Read more »

A Strategy for Factory Towns

… This report is part of a continuing effort by American Family Voices to do on-the-ground research and data analysis to understand the thinking and motivation of working-class voters, and to recommend strategies that can begin to rebuild the Democratic Party’s and progressive movement’s historic connection to America’s working class. […] Read more »

Meet the Republicans Who Are Facing Down the Hard Right

… On Tuesday, McCarthy won House approval, in a party-line, 221 to 211, vote, to create a Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government, with Jim Jordan, one of the most outspoken supporters of Trump and the MAGA movement in Congress, as its chairman. It’s possible, although not […] Read more »

‘THE central issue’: How the fall of Roe v. Wade shook the 2022 election

… On Election Day, voters in critical states like Michigan and Pennsylvania ranked abortion — not inflation or crime — as the most important issue in the midterms, according to exit polls. The red wave never arrived. Instead, Democrats gained a seat in the Senate and Republicans, badly underperforming expectations, […] Read more »

2022 counties: Who voted, who didn’t and why candidates matter

This week’s Senate runoff win by Democrat Raphael Warnock in Georgia marked the official end of the 2022 mid-term election. And with that, the Data Download takes a look at what we learned from some of our County to County locales in this cycle. Going into 2022, the NBC News […] Read more »