Voters in Tuesday’s contests expressed worries about the economy and a broad sense among Republicans that their party has betrayed them, according to early exit poll results. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta & Tom LoBianco, CNN Read more »
Mini Super Tuesday Republican Exit Poll Analysis
Who turned out in the Mini Super Tuesday GOP primaries and what motivated their votes? … Here are some of our observations of exit poll results from primary states voting tonight. This latest update is based on preliminary exit poll results. CONT. ABC News Read more »
For the Anti-Trump Forces, It May Be Now or Never
As we’ve suggested, the past few weeks have been defined by increasingly-loud talk of a contested convention and the possibility that the presidential contest will go beyond the first ballot, something that has not happened in either party since 1952. The highly unusual circumstances on the Republican side, where the […] Read more »
CBS/YouGov online poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida
Donald Trump keeps his lead in winner-take-all Florida, at 44 percent over Ted Cruz’s 24 percent and Marco Rubio’s 21 percent. In Ohio, Governor John Kasich is tied with Trump 33 percent to 33 percent, in two of the big winner-take-all delegate prizes up on Tuesday. … On the Democratic […] Read more »
Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the March 15 primary states of Florida and Illinois, while John Kasich holds the edge in his home state of Ohio, according to three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders in all […] Read more »
A Simple Model for Predicting Hillary Clinton’s Vote in the March 15 Democratic Primaries
A simple model based on two predictors — the racial composition of the Democratic primary electorate and a dummy variable for region — explain over 90% of the variance in Hillary Clinton’s vote share in this year’s Democratic primaries through March 8. The results of a regression analysis of Clinton’s […] Read more »