Obama takes the podium Thursday night with a massive challenge: Convince voters who think he has mismanaged the economy – the nation’s No. 1 issue – to support him in November. … Among those who disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy now, an August Washington Post-ABC News poll found […] Read more »
Election Forecast Models Clouded By Economy’s Slow Growth
… Sophisticated models in the past have bolstered arguments that presidential elections are mostly predetermined by the economy. This time, some concede that the plodding recovery may not tilt the balance toward either candidate. Instead, the costly, cross-country political campaign, which these forecasters have dismissed as irrelevant, may tip the […] Read more »
Convention Impact Update
… Efforts to use the conventions to change the minds of those who are voting for the opposite party’s candidate present a real challenge, given that a lot of those people simply aren’t watching. That doesn’t mean that the opponent’s people don’t pick up some news of the convention through […] Read more »
Obama Is Bad or Good for Markets in Poll Showing Global Division
Global investors are souring on President Barack Obama while still expecting him to be re- elected in November. By a margin of 46 percent to 39 percent, investors say Obama’s re-election would be bad for U.S. financial markets, according to a quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll conducted on Sept. 4. … […] Read more »
Obama’s Challenge: Higher Likability Than Approval
As U.S. President Barack Obama prepares to accept the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination for a second time, his personal favorability ratings remain above the 50% mark, while his job approval ratings are below that, as they have been for most of the last two years. Although such a gap in […] Read more »
The President’s Fountain of Youth Is Drying Up
… Why does Mr. Obama dramatically trail his 2008 performance among younger voters? … Mr. Obama’s biggest problem with millennials is almost certainly his failure to reignite the economy. Robust growth is needed to create the new jobs they need. [cont.] Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal Read more »