Going into this campaign Mitt Romney’s job was never going to be simple. It’s not easy to unseat an incumbent president – even one who has presided over a struggling economy. Voters typically have a long checklist of factors in mind when they consider whether a candidate is White House […] Read more »
The poll result that explains the election
Washington has been a bit perplexed by President Obama’s small but persistent lead in the polls. His administration would seem to fail the “Are you better off than you were four years ago” text [sic]. And presidents who fail that test lose, right? But perhaps that’s the wrong question. … […] Read more »
Who will Homer Simpson vote for?
Who will Homer Simpson vote for in the 2012 elections? Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? ANIMATIONonFOX Read more »
Measuring the Undecideds
For much of the year, head-to-head polls of President Obama and Mitt Romney have generated eerily consistent results: Obama garners a percentage in the high 40s but not at 50 percent, with Romney either tied or slightly behind. A small total — about 5 to 8 percent — remain undecided. […] Read more »
What John McLaughlin Sees in the Polls Right Now
I reached out to Republican pollster John McLaughlin for yesterday’s piece on how undecided voters are likely to break, and he made some separate comments about polls, their impact on motivation for each side, and how the campaigns want to use skewed poll numbers to depress the opposition. [cont.] Jim […] Read more »
Reason-Rupe Poll: Obama Leads Romney 52%-45%
A new national Reason-Rupe poll of likely voters finds President Barack Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney 48 percent to 43 percent in the presidential race. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning Obama’s lead over Romney grows to 52-45. … In a three-way presidential race, Obama drops […] Read more »