… [A] lack of weighing [for partisan identification] creates its own problems, which many pollsters often fail to acknowledge. Specifically, many polls have, in my judgment, overestimated the Democrats’ standing right now. I base this conclusion not on a secret, black box statistical methodology or some crystal ball, but rather […] Read more »
Polls Show Obama Is Widening His Lead in Ohio and Florida
For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital 18 electoral votes were trending away from Mitt Romney. The anxiety has been similar in Florida, where Republicans are concerned that President Obama is gaining the upper hand in the fight for the state’s 29 electoral […] Read more »
Romney Negativity Muddies Message as Obama Leads in Poll
Republican Mitt Romney’s negative ratings are preventing him from capitalizing on President Barack Obama’s vulnerabilities in the race for the White House, according to a new poll that gives the incumbent a lead heading into the first of three presidential debates. Half of Americans hold an unfavorable view of Romney […] Read more »
Gallup and Rasmussen: the polling outliers that lean Republican
It’s fairly clear that President Obama holds a healthy-sized lead in the race for president. … Yet, it is the pollsters who are showing the closest races – that is, in this contest, those the friendliest to Mitt Romney – who are, not surprisingly, receiving the most attention from conservatives. […] Read more »
Pluralities Say Press is Fair to Romney, Obama
There is no public consensus when it comes to how the presidential candidates are being covered by the news media. Nearly half (46%) say the coverage of Romney has been fair, while among those who see a bias as many say the press has been too easy on the GOP […] Read more »
Pollsters Suggest Race Stabilizing in Obama’s Favor
The presidential race remains remarkably stable, which is good news for President Obama and Democrats and bad news for Mitt Romney and Republicans. This race is certainly not over; with three presidential debates and one vice presidential debate to go and two upcoming unemployment reports — and all against a […] Read more »