TEMPO Research Team at Temple Fox School Both Obama and Romney received a TEMPO bump from the presidential debate on October 3, but that effect quickly dissipated in a few days. [TEMPO is an index that measures the influence of candidates in social, print, and broadcast media.] As of October […] Read more »
Democratic pollster delivers wake up call to Obama
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg is not known for flinching from delivering bad news to Democratic politicians, and his new diagnosis of Obama’s slippage in the polls is no exception. Greenberg told me in an interview that his new research persuaded him that Mitt Romney beat Obama in the debate for […] Read more »
Partisans line up behind their candidates as election nears
Partisans are falling in line as the election draws closer, with Democrats expressing more positive views of President Obama and Republicans more “strongly favorable” toward Mitt Romney than at any point in the campaign, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen & Peyton M. Craighill, Washington […] Read more »
Romney-Obama Race Tightens Up, Raising Stakes for Vice Presidential Debate
After Conventions, Follow the Bouncing Poll Numbers
After a summer in which the polling in the presidential race was exceptionally stable — with Barack Obama generally holding a lead of about two percentage points in national surveys — the numbers since the party conventions have been a wild ride. … Polling data is often very noisy, and […] Read more »
Pew Research poll bombshell: Romney leads by 4 points
The highly-respected Pew Research organization has published a poll – and it’s a shocker: Mitt Romney leads President Obama 49% to 45% among likely voters. This is one of Romney’s few – and certainly largest – national leads in a non-Rasmussen poll this year. The headline result on its own […] Read more »