Oh what change a week brings. With just 28 days to go until Election Day, we’ve seen a real change in momentum in the Presidential race thanks to a great debate from Mitt Romney and a historically poor one from Barack Obama. In this week’s election update, I’ll cover some […] Read more »
Winning ‘the 47 Percent’
Single women, people of color and young people – the Rising American Electorate – voted for change in 2008. To understand the dynamics of this election, Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund and Democracy Corps engaged in a three-phase research project with a particular emphasis on disengaged voters, Obama defectors, and […] Read more »
Numbers overload: Polling data hype sways voters
Treating presidential polls as gospel is a little like placing political faith in the lifespan of a fruit fly. “People tend to subscribe a more durable nature to polling data,” said Russ Baker, a political science professor at Rutgers University. “It’s more ephemeral.” … Pundits whip themselves up with every […] Read more »
Race tightening up in battleground Ohio
On the day that both presidential candidates are campaigning in Ohio, a new poll indicates a close contest in the race for the Buckeye State’s 18 electoral votes. According to a CNN/ORC International poll, 51% of likely voters in Ohio say they’re backing President Barack Obama, with 47% supporting Republican […] Read more »
How Good Are Romney’s Postdebate Odds?
By the end of this week, we should have a better idea of the true degree that Mitt Romney’s strong–and President Obama’s weak–debate performance had on this contest. … Romney desperately needed a break, something to change the trajectory of this race, and clearly he got one in the debate. […] Read more »
Romney 49%, Obama 47% Among Likely Voters
Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama’s favor. Neither result provides a candidate with a statistically significant lead, but […] Read more »