… The data collected by Latino Decisions in Florida give us insight into how Obama won the Latino vote in Florida. The two most important issues facing these voters were the economy and immigration. … Obama was on the correct side of both issues in the mind of Latino voters […] Read more »
The 2012 Election Was Good for Political Science
In late September, I was involved in an email exchange in which a historian stated that “Someone should do a piece cataloging down all the poli sci consensi being undone this season.” Now I can write with some confidence that the findings of the political science canon were largely confirmed […] Read more »
Americans Still Think Obama Will Seek Bipartisan Solutions
Nearly two-thirds of Americans, 65%, believe President Barack Obama will make a sincere effort to work with the Republicans in Congress to find mutually acceptable solutions to the nation’s problems. A majority, 57%, also expect the Democrats in Congress to try to work with the opposing party’s leaders, but fewer […] Read more »
The 2012 Election, in a Relative Sense
… In 46 states and the District of Columbia, President Obama did worse in 2012 than he did in 2008, winning by less or losing by more. The vote in most counties, too, shifted to the political right. But separating out the national political environment from more fundamental and potentially […] Read more »
In Wyoming, Conservatives Feeling Left Behind
By now, voters here are over the initial shock. The ranchers, businessmen and farmers across this deep-red state who knew, just knew that Americans would never re-elect a liberal tax-and-spender president have grudgingly accepted the reality that voters did just that. But since the election, a blanket of baffled worry […] Read more »
Gallup Blew Its Presidential Polls, but Why?
Last week’s presidential election has widely been seen as a victory for pollsters who, on balance, saw President Obama as the favorite before Election Day. But that wasn’t the case for the esteemed Gallup Organization. Its polling showed Republican Mitt Romney with a significant lead among likely voters 10 days […] Read more »