While Mitt Romney missed benchmarks with many disparate demographic groups on Election Day, the Republican Party might be said to have a single, overriding challenge moving forward: to adjust to generational change. Over the last decade, a wave of new, diverse, and socially moderate voters has reshaped the electorate, allowing […] Read more »
How the 2012 election polling really was skewed – for Mitt Romney
… The national polls, as it turned out, were not systematically biased against Republican Mitt Romney. The final surveys pointed to President Obama’s re-election, and they were right. That does not mean, however, that the polls weren’t biased. [cont.] Harry Enten, The Guardian Read more »
Nate Silver discusses election polling on MSNBC’s Morning Joe
Nate Silver discusses election polling on MSNBC’s Morning Joe. Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy Read more »
Assessing How Pivotal the Hispanic Vote Was to Obama’s Victory
… Looking at actual vote counts and the exit poll results from the recent election can provide insight into answering two important questions: First, was Mr. Obama’s electoral victory dependent on high Hispanic turnout and support from a large percentage of the Hispanic vote? And second, if the Hispanic vote […] Read more »
Can unions save the white working-class vote for Democrats?
Voters in union households provided a big boost to President Obama in Ohio and Wisconsin, where key battles over public sector unions have been waged. Their strong support helped him staunch big losses elsewhere among white working-class voters. White voters without college degrees made up nearly half of the total […] Read more »
Crowds Are This Election’s Real Winners
Forget about Obama versus Romney. The real contest in the 2012 election was about analytics. … In the latest skirmish, the quants won. They predicted the election outcome far more accurately than the pundits did. Therein lies a lesson for executives and policy makers alike: Wisdom and intuition may actually […] Read more »