Key Points• We’re continuing our series of looking at how the most vote-rich counties in a state vote versus those that make up the rest of the state by moving to the Southwest.• The region contains the key swing states of Arizona and Nevada, both of which are dominated by […] Read more »
The 2022 Race for the House, in Four Districts, and Four Polls
President Biden is unpopular everywhere. Economic concerns are mounting. Abortion rights are popular but social issues are more often secondary. A new series of House polls by The New York Times and Siena College across four archetypal swing districts offers fresh evidence that Republicans are poised to retake Congress this […] Read more »
State of the Rockies Project: Spike in Concern Over Drought, Wildfires and Climate Change
Colorado College’s 12th annual State of the Rockies Project Conservation in the West Poll released today showed a spike in concern over issues like drought, inadequate water supplies, wildfires, the loss of wildlife habitats and natural spaces, and climate change among voters in the Mountain West. Those concerns align with […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Four: The West Coast and Southwest
Key Points• Independent redistricting commissions are most common out West.• Democrats currently dominate the House delegations from the West Coast and Southwest, and that is likely to continue.• However, Republicans may be able to make up a little ground, thanks in part to California losing a seat and Oregon gaining […] Read more »
Reading the Tea Leaves in the NM-01 Special Election
On Tuesday, Democrat state Rep. Melanie Stansbury cruised to victory in the special election to fill the Albuquerque-based House seat of former Democratic Rep. (and now Interior Secretary) Deb Haaland. That Stansbury would win this seat was never really in doubt. Instead, the bigger question was whether she’d be able […] Read more »
The NM-1 Special: Democrats Hold Serve
Key Points• Democrats turned in an impressive victory in Tuesday night’s special election in NM-1. This comes a month after Republicans scored an impressive performance of their own in the first round of the TX-6 special.• Democratic performance represented an improvement over both Barack Obama and Joe Biden’s showings in […] Read more »