Members of the media prepare for Donald Trump’s announcement that he is running for president in 2024. AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell Thomas E. Patterson, Harvard Kennedy School Now that he’s in the 2024 presidential race, the media circus that is Donald Trump is returning for a new season. Trump is still […] Read more »
“Voters Are Smarter Than the Media”: The Pundit Class Misjudged the American People
For weeks, the political-industrial complex was sure that these 2022 midterm elections would be a bloodbath for democracy, a “red wave”—or better yet, a “red tsunami”—crashing over America. … But that’s not what happened. Voters rejected antidemocratic secretary of state candidates, as well as the prognostications about what they cared […] Read more »
Biggest loser of the midterm elections? The media.
… Political journalists were suckered by a wave of Republican junk polls in the closing weeks of the campaign. They were also swayed by some reputable polling organizations that, burned by past failures to capture MAGA voters, overweighted their polls to account for that in ways that simply didn’t make […] Read more »
There’s a 68 in 100 chance you’ll read this article about the audience for FiveThirtyEight-style election predictions
The midterm elections in the United States are today. Who’s leading, and who’s going to win? This is prime season for FiveThirtyEight, The Economist, and others to use their own election prediction systems to try to answer those questions. They build statistical models, drawing heavily on polls and other information, […] Read more »
Americans’ Trust In Media Remains Near Record Low
At 34%, Americans’ trust in the mass media to report the news “fully, accurately and fairly” is essentially unchanged from last year and just two points higher than the lowest that Gallup has recorded, in 2016 during the presidential campaign. … Americans’ trust in the media remains sharply polarized along […] Read more »
The trust gap: how and why news on digital platforms is viewed more sceptically versus news in general
What role, if any, do social media, search engines, and messaging apps play in eroding the public’s confidence in the news media? … Drawing on an original dataset of survey responses collected in the summer of 2022 across four countries – Brazil, India, the UK, and the US – we […] Read more »