This much came clear in the March 15 presidential primaries: Many voters like Donald Trump, while many others don’t. John Kasich is popular in his home state, while Marco Rubio isn’t. Strong conservatives support Ted Cruz. And Hillary Clinton can win Midwestern primaries. For Clinton, that might be enough, or […] Read more »
Super Tuesday 3 exit polls: Economic worries, feeling of GOP betrayal dominate
Voters in Tuesday’s contests expressed worries about the economy and a broad sense among Republicans that their party has betrayed them, according to early exit poll results. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta & Tom LoBianco, CNN Read more »
Mini Super Tuesday Republican Exit Poll Analysis
Who turned out in the Mini Super Tuesday GOP primaries and what motivated their votes? … Here are some of our observations of exit poll results from primary states voting tonight. This latest update is based on preliminary exit poll results. CONT. ABC News Read more »
For the Anti-Trump Forces, It May Be Now or Never
As we’ve suggested, the past few weeks have been defined by increasingly-loud talk of a contested convention and the possibility that the presidential contest will go beyond the first ballot, something that has not happened in either party since 1952. The highly unusual circumstances on the Republican side, where the […] Read more »
A Simple Model for Predicting Hillary Clinton’s Vote in the March 15 Democratic Primaries
A simple model based on two predictors — the racial composition of the Democratic primary electorate and a dummy variable for region — explain over 90% of the variance in Hillary Clinton’s vote share in this year’s Democratic primaries through March 8. The results of a regression analysis of Clinton’s […] Read more »
McClatchy-Marist Poll: Don’t charge Ferguson police officer
Despite massive protests, Americans say by 2-1 that the federal government shouldn’t charge the white police officer who shot an unarmed black teenager in Ferguson, Mo., according to a new McClatchy-Marist Poll. CONT. Anita Kumar, McClatchy Read more »