President Joe Biden has already made the most important domestic-policy decision he’ll likely face this year. Biden and his top advisers have repeatedly indicated that they will reject demands from the new GOP majority in the House of Representatives to link increasing the debt ceiling with cutting federal spending. Instead, […] Read more »
Why Debt-Ceiling Brinkmanship Feels Different This Time
Business, community, and government leaders are growing increasingly alarmed that the populist and ideologically conservative House Republicans may endanger Congress’ ability to approve an increase in the federal debt ceiling, a move crucial to avoiding the nation’s first-ever default and a calamity in the financial markets. The federal public debt […] Read more »
Party Images Stable After Midterm Elections
After the midterm elections that resulted in the Republican Party gaining a narrow majority in the U.S. House of Representatives and the Democratic Party holding on to their slim edge in the U.S. Senate, Americans’ views of the two major parties are essentially unchanged. Forty-two percent of U.S. adults say […] Read more »
The beginning of the end for Donald Trump? Probably.
… Like other political analysts, I have come to believe over the past few years that a large chunk of the GOP — maybe a third or even more — retains its allegiance to Trump, and that will not change. But over the past two midterms (2018 and 2022), the […] Read more »
Low Expectations for New Congress
Fewer than 1 in 5 Americans expect that Republican control of the House of Representatives will lead to a change for the better in Washington. In fact, a majority do not foresee this leading to much change either way. The Monmouth University Poll also finds the public is negative toward […] Read more »
Republicans prefer Ron DeSantis to Donald Trump as their 2024 presidential nominee
Nowhere is the impact of the Republican Party’s election underperformance more apparent than in changes in how Republicans view former President Donald Trump, who announced his 2024 candidacy Tuesday, after the close of the latest Economist/YouGov Poll. Before the election, 60% of Republicans wanted Trump to run again in 2024. […] Read more »