Campaign 2012 has reached the stage where partisans have moved from attacking their opponents to attacking the polls. … One common complaint in the current conservative fusillade is that many 2012 polls are using the “2008 turnout model.” … In fact, the “2008 turnout model” critique is so far off […] Read more »

… [A] lack of weighing [for partisan identification] creates its own problems, which many pollsters often fail to acknowledge. Specifically, many polls have, in my judgment, overestimated the Democrats’ standing right now. I base this conclusion not on a secret, black box statistical methodology or some crystal ball, but rather […] Read more »

The Romney campaign is joining the ranks of supporters who have decided that major national polls show Romney losing only because the samples are overly weighted with Dems. Romney pollster Neil Newhouse insists that public polling averages are “skewed,” and that the 2012 electorate will not show the same minority […] Read more »

It has become a recurring refrain among some Republican pundits and observers each time a new poll shows President Obama or downballot Democrats doing well: Check the party composition. Critics allege that pollsters are interviewing too many Democrats — and too few Republicans or independents — and artificially inflating the […] Read more »

The Romney campaign and other Republicans say polls showing President Obama with a significant lead over their candidate are inaccurate. They argue many mainstream polls skew in Obama’s favor because of sample sizes that base 2012 turnout projections on 2008, when Democrats — and Hispanics, blacks and young voters in […] Read more »