Political polarization of the American public continues to rise. Or does it?

The fight over the government shutdown is the latest battle in an American political system that seems ever more polarized. Certainly the parties in Congress are moving ever further apart. And the newly released 2012 American National Election Study—arguably the canonical political survey of Americans—suggests that Democrats and Republicans in […] Read more »

Polling the right people matters

Polling methodology has been a hot topic of late. But in all the discussion about “random deletion,” weighting by vote, analytics and dozens of other important issues, a basic principle has been overlooked, a principle that could well be a key culprit in some recent massive failures — you’ve got […] Read more »