Three new surveys released Wednesday showed Terry McAuliffe with varying leads in the race for Virginia governor, with each poll having a different estimate of the partisan breakdown of Tuesday’s electorate. CONT. Scott Clement & Ben Pershing, Washington Post Read more »
Beware Registered Voter Surveys In 2014
A wave of new surveys shows that the shutdown took a toll on the Republicans, but less clear is whether it’s enough to endanger the GOP House majority. Last night, two surveys from CNN and ABC/Washington Post showed Democrats building an 8 point lead on the generic ballot; if Democrats […] Read more »
You can trust Gallup’s numbers … for now
Gallup screwed up in 2010 and 2012. They called for a much wider Republican House victory in the former than what actually occurred, and they polled a Mitt Romney victory in the latter. That put them on a blacklist of sorts with some polling analysts. And while I am just […] Read more »
Cruz scoffs at NBC/WSJ poll: ‘That’s not reflective of where this country is’
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz on Friday sought to cast doubt on the results of a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal that reflected widespread public blame toward the GOP for the government shutdown and Cruz’s own popularity suffering. After delivering a hard-charging defense this morning of a strategy linking funding the […] Read more »
Moving the AP-GFK Poll Online
The Associated Press-GfK Poll released Wednesday marks the start of a new era for AP polling. From now on, regular polling from the AP and GfK, a global survey research company based in Germany, will be conducted online, interviewing from a unique group of willing survey takers that is representative […] Read more »
Why box-office surprises are becoming more common
… For decades, tracking was used by studios to determine filmgoer interest ahead of a new movie’s release and tell marketing executives where to spend their ad dollars. … But at a time when tracking’s influence on a film’s box-office fate has never been greater, chronic inaccuracies have led industry […] Read more »