Some Lessons and Questions After the Kansas Abortion Referendum

Since the Roe v. Wade decision, the typical American’s position has been “abortion should be legally permitted for some reasons but not others.” This remains true even in many conservative-leaning states, like Kansas, where a majority of elected representatives are pro-life. … By increasing the electoral salience of abortion, an […] Read more »

Redistricting in America, Part Five: The Interior West/Heartland

Key Points• For all of the focus on redistricting, the overall political environment matters for House elections too, and President Biden has shown some signs of weakness in recent weeks.• As we continue our redistricting series, we analyze several small-to-medium-sized states in the Interior West and Heartland.• One of the […] Read more »

Political fallout from Soleimani could be biggest for Senate

President Donald Trump ordered the killing of Iranian military leader Qassem Soleimani, and it was rightfully treated as a big deal. But as with breaking news of any size and scope, it’s best to pause before determining the political fallout. While most of the subsequent conversation revolves around potential future […] Read more »

A Republican poll shows overwhelming support for stricter gun control among suburban women

… A new poll conducted by a premier Republican polling firm shows that about 3 in 4 suburban women favor stricter gun laws. The Republican Main Street Partnership, which supports moderate Republicans and has endorsed “red flag” bills under consideration in the House, commissioned a Public Opinion Strategies survey of […] Read more »

Farewell Ross Perot; Senate races on the fringe of the competitive map; the curious case of Justin Amash

There is a great quote from George McGovern, the 1972 Democratic presidential nominee and South Dakota senator: “You know, sometimes, when they say you’re ahead of your time, it’s just a polite way of saying you have a real bad sense of timing.” Given how American politics has developed over […] Read more »