In Democratic-leaning and swing states, voters last week delivered an unmistakable cry of resistance to the restrictive Republican social agenda symbolized by the drive to ban abortion. But in red states where Republicans have actually imposed that agenda over the past two years, GOP governors cruised to reelection without any […] Read more »
David Shor’s (Premature) Autopsy of the 2022 Midterm Elections
The Democratic Party entered the 2022 midterms saddled with a historically unpopular president and an inflationary economy. And yet the party is exiting them as the election’s clear winner. In fact, Democrats put up one of the best midterm performances for an in-power party ever. David Shor believes that he […] Read more »
How a GOP Congress Could Roll Back Freedoms Nationwide
If Republicans win control of one or both congressional chambers this week, they will likely begin a project that could reshape the nation’s political and legal landscape: imposing on blue states the rollback of civil rights and liberties that has rapidly advanced through red states since 2021. Over the past […] Read more »
Swing voters are America’s unpredictable powerhouse
Swing voters often determine who wins national elections — but they don’t swing for the reasons that much of the media and many politicians imply. … What’s actually going on with swing voters? Based on previous election cycles and scholarly research, here are four ways to think about them: Swing […] Read more »
These Two Big Unknowns Make the 2022 Midterms Unusually Unpredictable
Here are a few things to keep in mind about the next week’s midterm elections. Let me start with a preface. The Democrats could do fairly badly on Tuesday yet still better than presidential parties have historically performed in similar situations. This could be true without the election providing a […] Read more »
A Powerful Theory of Why the Far Right Is Thriving Across the Globe
The political scientist Pippa Norris explains how a ‘silent revolution in values’ is fueling the global rise of the right. The Ezra Klein Show Read more »