Has the Democratic Party joined the Republican Party in becoming inhospitable to the accommodation of intraparty factions? Hillary Clinton must juggle three competing interest groups: her party’s upscale pro-trade, globalist wing; its underdog minority wing; and organized labor. She is paying a price for her triple allegiance. CONT. Thomas B. […] Read more »
Is Clinton Slipping?
Hillary Clinton has picked an awful time to hit one of the rough patches that has plagued her throughout the campaign. Now with just days to go until Election Day, there’s added uncertainty about the outcome. But while she may not be on the brink of an Electoral College win […] Read more »
Most Voters Haven’t Changed Their Minds All Year
… Imagine for a moment that we lived in a democracy with snap elections, and that Trump and Clinton faced off in January of this year. Would the distribution of public support have differed much from what it is today? With a team of researchers including my University of Pennsylvania […] Read more »
Is Donald Trump Outflanking Hillary Clinton?
Hillary Clinton’s easiest path to an Electoral College majority does not include Ohio, Florida, or North Carolina. Yet those three states all rank at the very top of the list of locales where she has invested the most time and advertising spending, especially in the campaign’s critical closing weeks. … […] Read more »
New CNN / ORC polls suggest new strength for Trump in Nevada, Clinton rise in Florida
Both the Clinton and Trump campaigns have hit the ground hard in Arizona, Florida, Nevada and Pennsylvania, and new CNN/ORC polls across the four states paint a picture of a tight race to the finish in critical battlegrounds. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Ratings of Trump Campaign Worst in Recent Election Years
As Republican nominee Donald Trump enters the home stretch of his campaign for the U.S. presidency, more than two-thirds of Americans say they are dissatisfied with the way his campaign has been conducted. This level of dissatisfaction is 21 percentage points higher than for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s campaign and […] Read more »