The Demographic Paradox of the 2016 Election

For all the turmoil, turbulence, and sheer reality-show melodrama of the 2016 presidential campaign, the actual results appear more likely to deepen long-standing trends in the electorate than to shatter them. That’s been one of the paradoxes of this extraordinary election year. With both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton facing […] Read more »

Why the Election Is Close, and What Trump and Obama Have in Common

Donald J. Trump is in striking distance of winning the election with two days to go, and there’s really just one reason for that: He’s leading white voters without a college degree by a huge margin. In recent national surveys, Mr. Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 59 percent to 30 […] Read more »