Trump’s unexpected primary victory has led many to reassess his prospects for the general election. After all, Trump won a major party nomination without doing all the things that campaigns are SUPPOSED to do – polling, data analytics, fundraising and traditional campaign operations. Why can’t we assume he upends the […] Read more »
Donald Trump Viewed as Change Agent, Economic Steward
With the spotlight narrowing to Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, some advantages that Mr. Trump carries into the general election race are coming into sharper focus. Here are two big ones: Voters view Mr. Trump, overwhelmingly, as the candidate of change. And Mr. Trump, more than Mrs. Clinton, is seen […] Read more »
When Will Sanders Start to Help His Party Heal?
Democrats are facing the springtime of their discontent, and maybe the summer too. The recent flurry of national polls showing an unexpectedly close general election race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton has punctured the Democratic hope that the Republican’s historically high unfavorable ratings would render him uncompetitive. Instead, the […] Read more »
The System Isn’t ‘Rigged’ Against Sanders
… As Sanders fans claim that the Democratic primary system is rigged against their candidate and that Sanders wins when turnout is higher, they fail to point out that Sanders has benefited tremendously from low-turnout caucuses. Indeed, if all the caucuses were primaries, Clinton would be winning the Democratic nomination […] Read more »
Racial prejudice, not populism or authoritarianism, predicts support for Trump over Clinton
… Unlike previous work that looked at how Trump supporters greatly differed from supporters of his fellow Republicans, authoritarianism doesn’t seem to predict much of the difference in support for Trump and Clinton. … That’s true for populism as well: Trump supporters are only slightly more populist than Clinton supporters. […] Read more »
Why Democratic Unity Could Be Easier to Achieve This Time: Donald Trump and Barack Obama
… There is mounting concern in Democratic Party circles that even after Clinton clinches the nomination, most likely after the California and New Jersey primaries on June 7, she will have difficulty winning over Sanders’ base of young, liberal voters, many of whom identify themselves in exit polls as independents. […] Read more »