In a political season marked by nonstop polling, a lively exchange took place recently about the state of public opinion research and what to believe about of all the numbers describing the state of the race. The context for the discussion was set by a series of national and state […] Read more »
2016 Hillary vs. 1992 Bill: How does their polling compare?
As Bill Clinton navigated his way around table corners and selfie-snapping voters at a café in New Mexico this week, he ran into a reporter who asked a question being pondered by pundits: How can Hillary Clinton boost her general election poll numbers against Donald Trump — who already appears […] Read more »
Race, Gender Biggest Differentiators in Views of Clinton, Trump
The demographic compositions of the two major political parties in America today are well-established, and naturally enough, it follows that the demographic profiles of those who have favorable opinions of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump would follow along these same lines. They do. But it is worth looking at these […] Read more »
The Real ‘Trump Effect’ for Young Latinos
… The disaffection and distrust evident in so much of the American electorate festers with special ferocity among young Latinos, the fastest growing segment of the American electorate. Looking at them we can see what this campaign is doing to all of us. The laws of physics, if not elections, […] Read more »
Most Are Positive About at Least One Presidential Candidate
Twenty-two percent of Democrats and independents who lean Democratic say Hillary Clinton would be a great president if elected, similar to the 19% of Republicans and Republican leaners who say the same about Donald Trump. Most of the rest of each partisan group say their party’s candidate would be either […] Read more »
Those polls showing Donald Trump catching up with Hillary Clinton: Really?
A raft of polls in recent days has shown a sharply tighter presidential race, with Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump shrinking to just a couple of points. Those polls have generated a lot of questions: Just how reliable is polling this far in advance of an election? What’s causing […] Read more »