More than at any time in memory, the United States faces a choice this fall between unpopular presidential candidates. Most voters view Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump with disdain. Yet one popular politician looms over the contest. That’s President Obama, who this spring has seen his approval rating again […] Read more »
Why the Next President Will Inherit a Divided Country
One of the driving forces of modern American politics has been the kaleidoscopic reshaping of the electorate, as minorities have steadily increased their share of the vote while whites—particularly those without advanced education—have declined. But these trends have affected the two parties in strikingly different ways, likely to further diverge […] Read more »
Donald Trump is splitting the white vote in ways we’ve never seen before
The potential for the 2016 election to widen America’s racial voting chasm even further is nothing new. But Washington Post-ABC News polls have also identified a related dynamic: White Americans are splintering along education and gender lines at rates not seen in at least three decades. CONT. Scott Clement, Washington […] Read more »
California: Clinton +13 Over Sanders; Harris, Sanchez Lead Senate Field
With California’s June 7 primary only a week away, a new Hoover Institution Golden State Poll finds Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump with large leads in their respective primaries but cautionary signs ahead, and good news for Democratic U.S. Senate hopefuls Kamala Harris and Loretta Sanchez. Hoover’s Golden State Poll, […] Read more »
Clinton Lead Over Trump Would Grow Without Sanders in The Race
The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Hillary Clinton with a narrow three-point lead over Donald Trump, 46 percent to 43 percent. But if Bernie Sanders were out of the race the NBC News political unit estimates her lead would likely be much larger, perhaps up around eight points, […] Read more »
Six Numbers That Show Why Clinton Is Still the Favorite in 2016
The 2016 general election race is now a virtual tie. Hillary Clinton is reeling from more negative headlines about her use of a private email server, while Donald Trump careens from news cycle to news cycle as fact-checkers scramble to sift through his claims. And the big question on everyone’s […] Read more »