What a month. At the end of a series of tumultuous events and two political conventions, the presidential race is more or less where it was before it all began: Hillary Clinton has a clear lead. … Convention bounces often prove to be short-lived, as the name implies and as […] Read more »
Is Clinton’s Lead A Bounce Or A New Equilibrium?
Hillary Clinton continues to poll strongly in surveys conducted after the Democratic National Convention, which show her having received a convention bounce and gaining a meaningful lead over Donald Trump. … There are some hints that Clinton’s post-convention lead over Trump will eventually settle in at about 7 percentage points, […] Read more »
Pessimism Might Not Be a Winning Bet for Republicans
A political lifetime ago, Ronald Reagan’s pollster seized on this question to frame the campaign’s argument during his 1980 presidential campaign: “Is the country headed in the right direction, or is it on the wrong track?” … In the New York Times-CBS News poll for July, 26 percent of respondents […] Read more »
Why Hillary Clinton is both widely disliked and widely admired
Hillary Clinton is the most admired woman in the United States. Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by nearly 60 percent of Americans. Somehow, both are true at the same time. How can that be? The answer says a lot about women who break glass ceilings. CONT. Anna Greenberg (Greenberg Quinlan […] Read more »
Post-convention poll: Clinton retakes lead over Trump
Hillary Clinton emerges from her party’s convention in Philadelphia with a restored lead over Donald Trump, having earned a 7-point convention bounce, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll. … Further, a majority of Clinton’s backers now say their vote is more to show support for her than to oppose Trump, […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Is Always Purple (And Other Electoral College Observations)
Over the weekend, the New York Times published an article titled “Electoral Map Gives Donald Trump Few Places to Go,” which suggested that the electoral college was effectively tilted in favor of Hillary Clinton this year. The piece referred to a “daunting electoral map” producing a “narrow” and “precarious” path […] Read more »