With three months remaining, the 2016 presidential election is already cemented as a new election archetype — one characterized by unconventional election warfare, politically incorrect posturing and extraordinary intraparty conflict. … There are more headlines to come in this campaign, and many will focus on the unprecedented high level of […] Read more »
Few Clinton or Trump Supporters Have Close Friends in the Other Camp
In an increasingly contentious presidential campaign, just a quarter of voters who support Donald Trump in the general election say they have a lot or some close friends who are supporters of Hillary Clinton. Even fewer Clinton backers (18%) say they have at least some friends who support Trump. CONT. […] Read more »
One Nation, Divisible By Demography and Ideology
Many people have said this before, but it’s worth saying again: If a few years ago, someone wrote a political potboiler with a plot that matched the campaign of the past 18 months, nobody would believe it, and it probably wouldn’t have been published. … We should probably get over […] Read more »
Three Things to Know About Candidates’ Post-Convention Poll Bounces
After the conventions comes the hunt for the convention bounce. … Here are a few things to keep in mind as additional polling organizations release results in the coming days: CONT. Aaron Zitner, Wall Street Journal Read more »
Trump Seems More the Result of a Shift Among White Men Than the Cause of It
Many people believe that Donald Trump is about to remake the Republican Party. … The party is changing, but data from this election and the previous two suggest that some of the changes have little to do with Mr. Trump expanding the party. Mr. Trump may instead be helping Hillary […] Read more »
With Russia a campaign issue, Clinton gains on foreign affairs
Hillary Clinton’s post-convention bump extends to enthusiasm about voting and trust on a slew of issues, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll. And on the most prominent foreign policy issue of late, Russia and its relationship with the US, nearly 6-in-10 see the country as unfriendly, and about half say […] Read more »