We’re going to spend a lot of time over the next 87 days contemplating the possibility of a Donald Trump presidency. Trump is a significant underdog — he has a 13 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model and a 23 percent chance according to polls-plus. […] Read more »
Polls: Clinton Running the Table in Key Battlegrounds
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump in some of the most diverse battleground states – including by double digits in two of them – according to four brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Donald Trump’s Missteps Risk Putting a Ceiling Over His Support in Swing States
DOYLESTOWN, Pa. — Donald J. Trump has been waiting for months for a poll in which he cracks 50 percent of the vote against Hillary Clinton in any of his top battleground states: Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio or Pennsylvania. “It’ll happen after the conventions,” he said in a July 6 […] Read more »
White Catholics: Swing Voters Redux?
A shift by white Catholics toward Hillary Clinton raises the question of whether this traditional swing-voting group may return to its previously decisive political role. White Catholics who are registered to vote split 51-45 percent between Clinton and Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, reversing their preference […] Read more »
Can Trump Catch Up?
Hillary Clinton has a solid lead in the national polls. Donald Trump is trailing in every swing state and is underperforming in states easily carried by past GOP nominees such as Georgia and Arizona. The question now is whether Clinton’s lead is durable and insurmountable. CONT. Amy Walter, Cook Political […] Read more »
Fox News Latino poll: Clinton holds 46-point lead over Trump among Hispanics
With less than four months to go before Election Day, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton holds a commanding 46 point lead over her Republican rival Donald Trump among Hispanic voters, according to an exclusive poll released Thursday by Fox News Latino. CONT. Andrew O’Reilly, Fox News Latino Read more »