Key Points• Independent redistricting commissions are most common out West.• Democrats currently dominate the House delegations from the West Coast and Southwest, and that is likely to continue.• However, Republicans may be able to make up a little ground, thanks in part to California losing a seat and Oregon gaining […] Read more »
Racial Voting Lines In Hawaii Senate Primary Leave Pollsters Mostly Clueless
I don’t know who is going to win Saturday’s special Democratic Senate primary between Sen. Brian Schatz and Rep. Colleen Hanabusa — and it’s not just because there’s a lot going on in Hawaii right now (an earthquake rattled Hawaii on Thursday, and two tropical storms are on course to […] Read more »
What’s the Matter With Kansas — And Hawaii?
Royal Blue Hawaii and Ruby Red Kansas are two of the most predictable states in presidential and Senate elections. Yet both states have incumbent governors from the dominant parties who are fighting for their political lives. What gives? The 2014 gubernatorial map features a number of fascinating races, some of […] Read more »
Hawaii Polls Demand a Critical Eye
This weekend’s Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii poll brought a raft of surprising findings. Appointed Democratic Sen. Brian Schatz is trailing Democratic Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in their closely-watched primary matchup, and Democratic Gov. Neil Abercrombie, who appointed Schatz to the Senate and was succeeded in the House by Hanabusa, is losing to […] Read more »