Hawaii Polls Demand a Critical Eye

This weekend’s Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii poll brought a raft of surprising findings. Appointed Democratic Sen. Brian Schatz is trailing Democratic Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in their closely-watched primary matchup, and Democratic Gov. Neil Abercrombie, who appointed Schatz to the Senate and was succeeded in the House by Hanabusa, is losing to his likely GOP rival.

Just because the results are surprising doesn’t mean this poll isn’t accurate. But it does serve as a reminder that pollsters face unique challenges in Hawaii. CONT.

Steven Shepard, National Journal

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