New Hampshire Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan and her Republican opponent, Don Bolduc, are neck-and-neck only days away from Tuesday’s election. In New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican Karoline Leavitt are also deadlocked. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kuster holds a small lead over Republican Robert Burns in […] Read more »
Checks and Balance: End of midterm
The big guns are out. Donald Trump has three rallies planned before election day. Barack Obama has popped up in several battleground states. The former presidents will, separately, converge on Pennsylvania at the weekend, where Obama will be joined by a lesser-spotted figure on the trail: President Biden. What’s at […] Read more »
Pre-election polling trends
Here is my look at the pre-election polling, as of Nov. 5, 2022. The raw polling data is from FiveThirtyEight.com, who generously allow download of their polling database. The trends are my estimates and not those of FiveThirtyEight or anyone else. I include both LV and RV poll results because […] Read more »
Pandemic Outlook Recovers as U.S. Leaders’ Messaging Falters
About two-thirds of Americans believe the COVID-19 situation in the U.S. is getting better, and 44% — a new high — now say the pandemic is over. Both readings are up by double digits since July when optimism was waning amid rising cases. … Americans in all party groups have […] Read more »
Florida: DeSantis grows to double-digit lead, Rubio widens gap
It’s nearly Election Day, and the frontrunners in Florida’s biggest political horse races are maintaining — or expanding — their leads. An exclusive Spectrum News/Siena College poll snapshots opinions and preferences of 659 likely voters from Oct. 30 through Nov. 1, 2022 with a 4.4% margin of error. Gov. Ron […] Read more »
Georgia: Walker and Warnock Closely Matched in Senate Race; Kemp Leads Abrams in Governor’s Race
In the contest for U.S. Senate in Georgia, Republican Herschel Walker and Democrat Raphael Warnock are tied among those who say they definitely plan to vote in this year’s election. Among registered voters, Warnock edges Walker by 4 points. The contest has experienced little movement among both definite voters and […] Read more »