Jobs and the economy are a top concern as Californians set a future course in the November election. Although job growth has been relatively strong as the state and nation recover from the COVID-19 crisis, residents are dealing with rising prices on consumer goods and high gasoline costs. Lower-income Californians […] Read more »
Millions of Youth Cast Ballots, Decide Key 2022 Races
Young people, who overwhelmingly favored Democrats, had one of their highest turnout rates ever in a midterm and shaped results across the country. According to day-after estimates from the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE) at Tufts University’s Jonathan M. Tisch College of Civic Life, […] Read more »
In a hole since 2010, state Dems begin digging out
For more than a decade, Democrats have lamented their party’s inability to make inroads in legislative races across the nation, as Republicans use state House and Senate gavels to advance conservative agendas and to lock in majorities over the long term. But for the first time since the 2010 midterm […] Read more »
How Democrats Avoided a Red Wave
The coalition of voters who turned out to oppose Donald Trump in 2018 and 2020 largely reassembled yesterday, frustrating Republican expectations of a sweeping red wave. Under the pressure of high inflation and widespread disenchantment with President Joe Biden’s job performance, that coalition of young voters, people of color, college-educated […] Read more »
Calcified Politics Gives Us Another Close Election
Just as Democrats did in 2020, Republicans came into the 2022 midterms expecting a landslide. Sky-high inflation, an unpopular President, and pessimism about the direction of the country all pointed to a ‘typical’ midterm romp for the party out of power. But, as we have written extensively over the last […] Read more »
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election
Key Points• Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.• Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.• Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 governorship. CONTINUED Larry J. […] Read more »