With 100 days remaining until Election Day, voters in three critical battleground states swing in former Vice President Joe Biden’s way, according to new Arizona, Florida and Michigan CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In Florida (51% Biden to 46% for President Donald Trump) and Arizona (49% Biden to 45% Trump), […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump in battleground Arizona
With 100 days until the election, Democrat Joe Biden holds a 5-point lead over President Donald Trump in Arizona, with more voters saying the former vice president would do a better job handing the coronavirus pandemic and race relations, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll of the state. Democrats […] Read more »
Fighting the Last Polling War
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team shares the findings of a new NBC News/Marist Poll study which debunks the commonly held claim that weighting 2016 battleground state polls by education would have improved their accuracy. The Poll Hub team explains how an analysis of the 2019 gubernatorial […] Read more »
Here’s how NBC News is working to improve its state polling in 2020
In 2016, the polls were more right than wrong. The final national surveys had Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump ahead by an average of 3 points; Clinton ended up winning the popular vote by 2 points. But some state polling missed the mark badly, especially in Midwest and Rust […] Read more »
Republicans And Democrats See COVID-19 Very Differently. Is That Making People Sick?
Americans have changed their behavior in ways that would have been unthinkable even a few months ago. Masks are an essential accessory. Social distancing is the norm. And even as states moved to reopen their economies in May and June, many Americans continued to think it was better for people […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump in battlegrounds Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the battleground states of Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania, according to Fox News statewide registered voter surveys. Biden benefits from strong support among women, nonwhite voters, and those living in suburban areas, while Trump suffers from a lackluster performance among men […] Read more »